Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.059472 0.064372 0.069323 0.074695 0.080350 0.086120 0.092445
2025-02-16 0.053839 0.061240 0.068969 0.077617 0.086993 0.096826 0.107890
2025-02-23 0.045796 0.054654 0.064201 0.075191 0.087429 0.100579 0.115714
2025-03-02 0.040323 0.050297 0.061356 0.074413 0.089294 0.105615 0.124759
2025-03-09 0.035978 0.046781 0.059079 0.073936 0.091220 0.110522 0.133533
2025-03-16 0.033936 0.045718 0.059431 0.076316 0.096290 0.118920 0.146246
2025-03-23 0.031645 0.044134 0.058987 0.077609 0.099984 0.125675 0.157062
2025-03-30 0.029486 0.042524 0.058352 0.078536 0.103145 0.131746 0.167064
2025-04-06 0.027040 0.040362 0.056878 0.078300 0.104795 0.135959 0.174840
2025-04-13 0.025781 0.039628 0.057099 0.080084 0.108849 0.143011 0.185986
2025-04-20 0.023571 0.037481 0.055393 0.079338 0.109699 0.146147 0.192416
2025-04-27 0.022039 0.036144 0.054641 0.079720 0.111888 0.150866 0.200737
2025-05-04 0.020949 0.035384 0.054644 0.081106 0.115412 0.157336 0.211359
2025-05-11 0.020544 0.035562 0.055888 0.084118 0.121031 0.166452 0.225314
2025-05-18 0.018169 0.032753 0.052956 0.081508 0.119360 0.166442 0.228004
2025-05-25 0.016600 0.031021 0.051410 0.080663 0.119900 0.169152 0.234036
2025-06-01 0.015269 0.029555 0.050159 0.080146 0.120816 0.172303 0.240605
2025-06-08 0.014958 0.029648 0.051116 0.082657 0.125744 0.180595 0.253686
2025-06-15 0.014332 0.029200 0.051259 0.084020 0.129139 0.186935 0.264337
2025-06-22 0.013643 0.028601 0.051146 0.084998 0.132007 0.192602 0.274160
2025-06-29 0.012672 0.027475 0.050197 0.084748 0.133181 0.196055 0.281162
2025-07-06 0.012317 0.027358 0.050747 0.086632 0.137267 0.203325 0.293091
2025-07-13 0.011325 0.026083 0.049478 0.085843 0.137649 0.205718 0.298738